The United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) announced that the current El Niño phenomenon has a 75% chance of reaching a "historic" intensity. According to the agency, El Niño is expected to continue intensifying until it peaks later this year. A month ago, this probability was estimated at 69%.
NOAA stated that during the October to December 2026 season, there is a 75% chance of a historic event that exceeds the intensity of all previous El Niño events since 1950. The phenomenon is known for causing droughts, floods, and extreme temperatures worldwide.
El Niño is a natural climate variation that occurs every two to seven years. The surface waters in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific begin to warm in spring, leading to profound changes in global wind, pressure, and precipitation patterns in the following months.
In early September, the Secretary-General of the World Meteorological Organization, Celeste Saulo, had already issued an alert about the phenomenon, although the article does not provide more details about this statement.
