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Focus Bulletin: Inflation projection falls below 5% for the first time since MayPhoto by DenisStreltsov on Pexels
Business
Economy

Focus Bulletin: Inflation projection falls below 5% for the first time since May

oglobo14 September 2026 at 12:58

The analysts heard by the Central Bank project inflation this year below 5% for the first time since May 18. The Focus Bulletin, released this Monday, shows the third consecutive decline in estimates for the IPCA, with the projection being reduced from 5% to 4.90%.

The reduction occurs in the week in which the fifth Selic cut by the Central Bank's Monetary Policy Committee is expected. The market expectation, so far, is that this will be the last reduction of the year.

The projection for the basic interest rate of the economy was maintained at 13.75% for the sixth consecutive week, indicating that the interest rate cut cycle should end at this point.

Why this matters

The decline of inflation below 5% and the expectation of maintaining interest rates at 13.75% indicate a more favorable scenario for the financial planning of Brazilians, especially for those with debts linked to variable rates or who intend to invest, since the Selic cut cycle appears to be coming to an end.

About this summary

This is our short summary of a report published by oglobo on 14 September 2026 at 12:58; the full text stays with the publisher. In our feed it sits under Business. We currently carry 22562 items in that section.

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