The Datafolha poll reveals a scenario of technical tie in the race for the Presidential Palace in a potential second round between President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT), with 46% of voting intentions, and SenatorFlávio Bolsonaro (PL), with 44%. The margin of error is two percentage points. Eight percent of respondents declared a blank or null vote, while 1% said they were undecided. The numbers are identical to those of the previous round of the poll.
The survey was conducted between September 8 and 11, a period marked by developments in the crisis at the Supreme Federal Court (STF). The poll was in the field between Tuesday, when Minister André Mendonça removed Andrei Rodrigues from the position of director-general of the Federal Police, and Friday, when part of the secrecy of the Master Case was lifted.
The study was commissioned by "Folha de S. Paulo" and the Globo group. 2,002 people were interviewed, and the poll indicates a scenario of stability in voting intentions, since Lula's and Bolsonaro's percentages remain unchanged compared to the previous round.
The context of the poll occurs approximately three weeks before the start of the elections, amid political tension involving the STF and the Federal Police, with developments that may influence voter sentiment in the coming weeks.
