The Quaest survey shows a numerical tie between President Lula and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in the second round of the election. The exact number of the tie is not reported in the article.
The central point of the analysis is the statistical trend called the "crocodile's mouth," which is closing in favor of the opposition. This statistical slang occurs when a candidate's numbers gradually approach the former frontrunner's, forming on the graph an image similar to a crocodile's mouth closing.
The article highlights that when this trend manifests, especially less than a month before the election, it is a signal that the electorate is leaning toward a particular side.
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