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Flavio Numerically Ahead Against Lula in 2nd Round for First Time Since AprilPhoto by pedrokauanamorimlima on Pexels
Politics
Elections

Flavio Numerically Ahead Against Lula in 2nd Round for First Time Since April

oglobo14 September 2026 at 15:04

The Quaest poll, published this Monday (14th), showed for the first time since April that candidate Flavio Bolsonaro (PL) is numerically ahead of President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) in a second-round scenario in the presidential election. The PL senator scored 42% of voting intentions, while Lula obtained 40%.

The survey was commissioned by GLOBO and TV Globo after the lifting of secrecy of the Master case by the Supreme Court (STF). The poll was conducted between Friday and Sunday.

With a margin of error of two percentage points, plus or minus, the result configures a technical tie between the two candidates. In the previous poll, both voting intentions were tied at 41%, indicating a favorable oscillation for the PL candidate.

Why this matters

The Quaest poll reveals that, for the first time since April, the Bolsonaro candidate leads numerically against Lula in the second round, indicating a potential shift in the electoral landscape. With a margin of error of two percentage points, the result still configures a technical tie, but the favorable oscillation toward Bolsonaro may influence campaign strategies on both sides. The timing of the survey coincides with the release of information from the Master case, adding relevant political context to the presidential race scenario.

About this summary

This is our short summary of a report published by oglobo on 14 September 2026 at 15:04; the full text stays with the publisher. In our feed it sits under Politics. We currently carry 29575 items in that section.

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