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Lula loses low-income votes and Flavio Bolsonaro grows among women, Catholics and more, Quaest survey showsPhoto by planet_fox on Pexels
Politics
Elections

Lula loses low-income votes and Flavio Bolsonaro grows among women, Catholics and more, Quaest survey shows

cbn14 September 2026 at 14:36

The Quaest survey released on Monday (14) indicates a loss of four percentage points of voting intention for incumbent president and re-election candidate Lula (PT) among low-income voters in the first round. In one month, there is a seven-point drop among people earning up to two minimum wages.

The PL presidential candidate, Flavio Bolsonaro, grew in other areas. In the Southeast, he opened a large lead over Lula, with 47% against 31%. Among women, the senator stands at 38% against 41% for the petista. Among Catholics, Lula has 46% against 38% for Bolsonaro.

The new Quaest presidential survey shows that Bolsonaro has narrowed the gap with Lula in the presidential poll. While the senator has 31% of valid votes, the current president has 36%. In the previous survey from September 7, Lula had 36% and Bolsonaro 29%.

In a runoff, the survey shows Bolsonaro with 42% against 40% for Lula, indicating an even tighter scenario if the two candidates face each other in the final stage of voting.

Why this matters

This survey directly impacts Brazilian readers by showing significant changes in the Brazilian electoral landscape, especially Lula's loss among his traditional low-income constituency and Flavio Bolsonaro's growth among groups previously favorable to the PT, such as women and Catholics, which could alter the outcome of the presidential election.

About this summary

This is our short summary of a report published by cbn on 14 September 2026 at 14:36; the full text stays with the publisher. In our feed it sits under Politics. We currently carry 29575 items in that section.

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