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Quaest poll: Flavío appears numerically ahead of Lula in the 2nd round for the first time in the campaignPhoto by planet_fox on Pexels
Politics
Elections

Quaest poll: Flavío appears numerically ahead of Lula in the 2nd round for the first time in the campaign

extra14 September 2026 at 14:22

The Quaest poll on the presidential election, commissioned by GLOBO and TV Globo, records for the first time during the campaign a numerical advantage of Flavío Bolsonaro (PL) over President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) in a second round. The senator appears with 42% of voting intentions, against 40% for the PT candidate. Since the margin of error is two percentage points for more or for less, the result still constitutes a technical tie.

The poll was conducted between Thursday and Sunday, a period marked by an unprecedented crisis at the Supreme Federal Court (STF). Internal disputes at the Court dominated last week's news and became the agenda of electoral campaigns.

Although Flavío Bolsonaro himself is under investigation in the Master case, he concentrated his attacks on suspicions regarding Minister Alexandre de Moraes to associate him with adversary Lula. The court will begin deciding tomorrow the issues related to this impasse.

The result represents a favorable swing for the son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, since in the previous poll, from last week, both candidates scored 41% in the second round.

Why this matters

This matters to Brazilian voters because it marks the first time during the campaign that Flavío Bolsonaro numerically leads Lula in a second-round scenario, even though it remains within the margin of error. The poll was conducted during the unprecedented crisis at the STF, which became a central campaign issue, particularly with Flavío focusing attacks on Minister Alexandre de Moraes to associate him with Lula.

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This is our short summary of a report published by extra on 14 September 2026 at 14:22; the full text stays with the publisher. In our feed it sits under Politics. We currently carry 29533 items in that section.

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