ECMWF forecast: Portugal to accumulate up to 4 weeks with temperatures higher than normalPhoto by franky1st on Pexels
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ECMWF forecast: Portugal to accumulate up to 4 weeks with temperatures higher than normal

Meteored Portugal10 September 2026 at 13:33

The latest ECMWF forecasts indicate that Portugal may face up to four consecutive weeks with temperatures above the climatological average, in a trend that may extend into the first half of October. The September heat is thus far from over, with the positive signal in temperatures remaining for several weeks.

A new heat dome is expected to hit the country in the coming days, with the peak expected on September 14th. This heat wave arrives after a period already marked by temperatures well above the usual for this time of year.

The change in weather conditions begins this weekend, specifically on Saturday, the 12th, when a very hot air mass should affect Portuguese territory. This situation maintains the intense heat trend that has been characterizing the month of September in the country.

The ECMWF sub-seasonal forecasts thus point to a prolonged persistence of high temperatures, breaking the typical pattern for this time of year and anticipating an autumn with unusual thermal conditions for Portugal.

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