Portugal faces in 2050 the need to rethink its defense policy in a potentially transformed geopolitical context. The article addresses how the country has discussed investment in defense, always based on NATO-established targets, without considering alternative scenarios.
The central question raised by the author is what would happen if NATO, as it currently exists, ceased to be the determining factor in Portuguese defense decisions. The article suggests that the strategic role of Portugal is rarely debated if the Atlantic alliance altered its structure or ceased to function as a reference framework for national defense policies.



