Quaest: survey shows Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro tied in the 2nd roundPhoto by SwastikArora on Pexels
Politics
Выборы
Coimbra

Quaest: survey shows Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro tied in the 2nd round

oglobo7 September 2026 at 22:04

Released on Monday, the new Quaest survey, commissioned by the newspaper O GLOBO and TV Globo, shows President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) with 41% of voting intentions in a potential second-round runoff. The main adversary of the Workers' Party candidate, Senator Flavio Bolsonaro (PL), appears with the same 41% in the same scenario, constituting a technical tie, given the margin of error is 2 percentage points.

The previous Quaest survey already showed a technical tie between the two candidates, with Lula at 42% against Flavio Bolsonaro's 41%. The institute's earlier polls indicated a progressive narrowing of the gap between the Workers' Party candidate and the former president Jair Bolsonaro's (PL) son.

On July 26, the gap between the two reached eight percentage points, with the current president having 45% of voting intentions against 37% for his opponent. Since then, the difference has been narrowing until the tie recorded now.

This is the first survey by the institute conducted entirely after the crisis among Supreme Court (STF) ministers escalated with Alexandre de Moraes's request to investigate certain profiles on social media.

Related articles

Extrema-direita na Saxónia-Anhalt: o que significa esta vitória e que repercussões pode ter?
Politics

Right-wing extremism in Saxony-Anhalt: what does this victory mean and what repercussions can it have?

The article analyzes the significance of the right-wing extremist victory in Saxony-Anhalt, Germany, and its potential political repercussions, contextualizing this trend within the broader growth of right-wing extremism in the country. The text also serves as an introduction to "Contrapolítica," a new commentary space led by Ascenso Simões, which will explore this topic in depth through a political commentary program.

SIC Notícias07/09/26, 23:19
SIRESP, aeroportos e Proteção Civil na defesa de Luís Neves em audição
Politics

SIRESP, airports and Civil Protection in Luís Neves' defense at hearing

The Minister of Internal Administration, Luís Neves, will be heard in Parliament before the motion of censure, where he will detail developments in his areas of responsibility, including SIRESP, airports and Civil Protection. The opposition intends to address matters that are under judicial secrecy during this parliamentary hearing.

SAPO Notícias07/09/26, 23:18
Politics

"Before the Luís Neves case, the most popular minister in the Government was Luís Neves"

Commentator Rui Calafate analyzed the CNN Portugal tracking poll that shows PS leading in Portuguese approval, with Luís Neves, Minister of Internal Administration, emerging as the most popular member of the Government, even surpassing expectations. The poll also reveals the position of Chega and AD in the Portuguese political landscape, with Calafate providing a detailed reading of the results and their impact on the national political landscape.

CNN Portugal07/09/26, 23:18
Politics

Vera Magalhães: 'Movement revealed by Quaest is very negative for Lula'; watch video analysis

The new Quaest research this Monday reveals a challenging political scenario for President Lula (PT) in the 2024 electoral race. The survey shows Lula in the lead with 36%, followed by Bolsonaro (PL) with 29%, but columnist Vera Magalhães classifies the electorate's movement as "very negative" for the president, highlighting the negative fluctuation in government approval and the crisis at the STF involving messages between banker Daniel Vorcaro and Justice Alexandre de Moraes. The scenario also records 8% white/null votes, 8% for Augusto Cury, and 10% undecided, with Vera warning about concerning data even with Lula's numerical lead.

oglobo07/09/26, 23:13