Senator and presidential candidate Flavio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ) began a three-day tour of the Northeast on Tuesday, a region where he faces his biggest electoral disadvantage. The trip covered Ceara, Pernambuco, and Bahia, states where local agreements involving the PL coexist with resistance to direct linking to the presidential candidate.
According to a Quaest poll released on Monday, Lula has 52% of voting intentions in the Northeast in the first round, against only 20% for Flaviao. In the second-round simulation, the gap is even more pronounced: the president scores 60%, while the PL candidate appears with 28%. The margin of error for the regional breakdown is four percentage points.
The regional scenario contrasts with Flaviao's national evolution, which rose from 29% to 31% in first-round voting intentions, while Lula remained at 36%. In the national second-round simulation, the PL candidate appeared numerically ahead compared to Northeast numbers.
Despite the rise in national polls, Bolsonaro faces difficulties in transforming state-level alliances into effective campaign platforms for his candidacy for the Presidential Palace, which is expected to limit the impact of the regional tour on his electoral performance.
