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Datafolha: Flavio leads in almost all income brackets, except among the poorest, who tend toward LulaPhoto by googles on Pexels
Politics
Elections

Datafolha: Flavio leads in almost all income brackets, except among the poorest, who tend toward Lula

oglobo12 September 2026 at 19:22

The Datafolha poll released this Friday shows the PL candidate for President, senator Flavio Bolsonaro, leading in almost all income brackets, with the exception of the poorest. Among voters earning up to two minimum wages, President Lula (PT), who is seeking re-election, appears with 47% of voting intentions, against 27% for the main opponent, with a margin of error of three percentage points in this breakdown.

In the overall first-round scenario, the poll points to a technical tie between the two candidates, with Lula at 39% and Flavio Bolsonaro at 35%. The margin of error for the complete sample is two percentage points, plus or minus. Compared to the previous poll, both candidates varied positively, but within the margin of error.

Flavio Bolsonaro appears ahead of Lula in the breakdown of higher-income voters. The poll also indicates that 50% of respondents disapprove of Lula's management, while 47% approve. Additionally, 46% of voters reject both Flavio Bolsonaro and Lula as voting options.

Why this matters

This poll reveals the polarization of the Brazilian electorate by income, with Bolsonaro dominating among middle and upper classes while Lula maintains strength among the poorest. The technical proximity between the two candidates in the overall scenario and the high rejection of both indicate a closely contested race that may be decided by factors such as base mobilization and economic performance through October.

About this summary

This is our short summary of a report published by oglobo on 12 September 2026 at 19:22; the full text stays with the publisher. In our feed it sits under Politics. We currently carry 28770 items in that section.

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