Specialist Vitaliy Venislavskyy analyzed the risk of a horizontal escalation by Iran, considering the possibility of Tehran sabotaging submarine telecommunications and fiber optic cables that cross Iranian territorial waters in the Strait of Hormuz. This assessment comes in a context of elevated international tensions.
According to the analysis presented, the United States does not show much interest in mobilizing its entire offensive arsenal in response to Iranian provocations. Simultaneously, Iran also does not appear to intend to resort to the maximum of its military capabilities.
The Strait of Hormuz has fundamental strategic importance, as it constitutes one of the main global routes for submarine telecommunications cable traffic. Any sabotage in this area could have significant repercussions on international communications.
