Global coffee production falters after Colombia's earthquake and the arrival of the El Niño climate phenomenon
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Global coffee production falters after Colombia's earthquake and the arrival of the El Niño climate phenomenon

El Periódico Mediterráneo - General28 August 2026 at 17:57

After two years of record production and historical prices, Colombia's coffee sector faces in 2026 what experts have already defined as a "perfect storm" of adverse factors. With climate change as the protagonist and with the August 10 earthquake as the decisive element, forecasts from coffee growers for this year indicate production of approximately 12.5 million bags, representing a decrease of 8% to 9% compared to the 13.7 million produced in 2025. The poor Colombian harvest, the world's third largest producer after Brazil and Vietnam, and the main exporter of the arabica variety, concerns international coffee markets, a product whose global demand grows at an estimated annual rate between 2.2% and 2.4% globally, driven mainly by dynamism in emerging markets such as China and the Middle East. The concern exists not only in terms of quantity, but also of quality, since Colombian coffee is recognized for its excellence.

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