The Quaest poll released this Monday (14th) brought a new scenario to the presidential race. President Lula appeared with 40% of voting intentions, while Senator Flavinho Bolsonaro reached 42% in an eventual second round, marking the first time the Bolsonaro candidate numerically surpassed the president in the polls.
The scenario has rekindled the debate about electoral dynamics and voter movement. The article was published as exclusive content for subscribers, requiring registration for full access.
Members of Lula's campaign offered an explanation for the phenomenon. According to allies of the former president, Flavinho's growth in the poll reflects the anticipation of strategic voting by voters, who would be migrating to the PL candidate before the second round to try to prevent a Lula victory.
The Quaest poll is one of the most respected in Brazil and its surveys are closely followed by both sides of the electoral dispute. The result represents a challenge for the Lula campaign's strategy, which now needs to deal with a more adverse scenario than previously anticipated.
