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Lula maintains advantage over Flavio Bolsonaro in new poll in BrazilPhoto by riquebeze on Pexels
Politics

Lula maintains advantage over Flavio Bolsonaro in new poll in Brazil

Público12 September 2026 at 21:05

President Lula maintains an advantage over Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, according to a new poll conducted in Brazil. In the hypothesis of a second round between the two candidates, Lula appears with 46% of voting intentions, while Bolsonaro totals 44%, which represents a technical tie within the margin of error.

In the first round scenario, Lula leads with 39% of voting intentions, against 35% for Bolsonaro. This is the first poll conducted in full Supreme Court crisis, which may influence the mood of the electorate and the strategies of political campaigns.

The data reveal that the electoral race remains heated, with the current president maintaining a moderate but not definitive advantage over the opposition candidate. The technical tie in the second round indicates that the dispute may intensify in the coming weeks, depending on the evolution of the country's political and economic scenario.

Why this matters

Brazilian readers closely follow the electoral race and this poll shows that the dispute remains fierce, with Lula maintaining a narrow but consistent margin. The technical tie in the second round and the small difference in the first round indicate that the election result may depend on factors not yet reflected in current voting intention rates. This is also the first poll conducted during the institutional crisis involving the Supreme Court, which may influence voters' perception.

About this summary

This is our short summary of a report published by Público on 12 September 2026 at 21:05; the full text stays with the publisher. In our feed it sits under Politics. We currently carry 28767 items in that section.

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