The draw for the Copa do Brasil defined the semi-final matchups, with Atlético-MG facing Grêmio and Vasco playing against Palmeiras. The celebration was greater among Atlético-MG and Vasco fans, who will have the benefit of deciding at home their advancement to the final.
The competition's historical record, with 37 completed editions from 1989 to 2025, gives reason to these fans. Out of 74 semi-final matchups, in 60.8% of cases, meaning 45 times, the team that played the second match at home advanced to the final. Visitors succeeded on 29 occasions.
The breakdown by periods shows the home team's advantage in different eras. Between 1989 and 1999, there were 13 advancements for teams deciding at home compared to 9 for visitors. From 2000 to 2009, there was a tie at 10 to 10. The period from 2010 to 2019 was the most favorable for home teams, with 17 victories against only 3 for teams deciding away.
However, recent history may reassure Grêmio and Palmeiras fans. From 2020 to 2025, out of 12 semi-final matchups, seven were won by teams deciding away from home, compared to only five for home teams, reversing the scenario that predominated for much of the tournament's history.
