The crisis involving the STF (Supreme Federal Court) has become a central theme for September 7, Brazil's Independence Day, and is being strategically used by Flavinho Bolsonaro in the electoral race. The PL candidate is betting on the political wear-down of Minister Alexandre de Moraes to mobilize the Bolsonaro base, which sees the STF as a target of criticism.
In second-round simulations, Flavinho Bolsonaro appears tied with his opponents, which makes mobilizing the electoral base a crucial factor for his chances. The strategy is to take advantage of the dissatisfaction of part of the Bolsonaro electorate regarding the court.
However, the candidate faces a significant challenge: finding the balance between attacking the STF to win over the most radical supporters and not alienating moderate voters, who may be repelled by a more confrontational stance.
The context of the judicial and political crisis at the STF has been shaped over the past years, culminating in tensions that manifest especially during symbolic dates like September 7, when pro-government demonstrations frequently include criticism of the supreme court.
