Public debt becomes the new focus of market tension: why it climbs to Great Recession highs
BusinessVila Real

Public debt becomes the new focus of market tension: why it climbs to Great Recession highs

El Periódico Mediterráneo - General30 August 2026 at 07:42

In mid-August, while European investors reduced their stock market activity to enjoy the sun and beach during summer, the global bond market began sending warning signals not seen since the early stages of the Great Recession. The context was European summer holidays, but global markets showed significant concern.

On August 19, the yield on 30-year US Treasury bonds, considered the global benchmark for the bond market, rose to 5.3%, levels not recorded since 2007. This level represents the highest value in nearly two decades.

This phenomenon is related to the increase in public debt, which has become the new focus of tension in financial markets. International investors began showing growing concern about the sustainability of public finances in various developed economies.

The signals detected in the bond market are similar to those that preceded the Great Recession, which triggered alarms among financial analysts monitoring the evolution of sovereign debt worldwide.

Related articles

Business

With over 1 million Flamengo fans, Maracanã has 75% profit margin and exceeds R$ 70 million in 2026

Flamengo reached the mark of 1 million fans at Maracanã in 2026, with a 75% profit margin on stadium operations and revenues exceeding R$ 70 million. The Fla-Flu consortium, which manages Maracanã, optimized results by cutting costs and reducing staff, in addition to implementing facial recognition to control service providers. In a match against Cruzeiro for the Libertadores, revenue exceeded R$ 8 million, with Flamengo keeping 79% of the total — the club's best revenue — when earlier in the year this rate was just over 30%.

oglobo30/08/26, 08:01
Business

Government will give 20 million to combat fertilizer prices, but farmers demand speed

The Portuguese Government will launch a 20 million euro support to help farmers combat the increase in fertilizer prices, announced the Minister of Agriculture and the Sea, José Manuel Fernandes, in Penafiel. A notice of 25 million euros will also be made available to repair irrigation infrastructure affected by storms. The main sector associations, such as CAP and CNA, received the announcements positively, but warn of the need to move from announcements to execution, pointing to persistent bureaucratic delays that have prevented farmers from accessing funds in a timely manner, putting the viability of agricultural holdings at risk.

oRegiões30/08/26, 08:00
Business

El Niño Already Driving Up Coffee, Cocoa and Sugar Prices and Expected to Affect Agribusiness Performance in 2027

The climate phenomenon El Niño, which causes abnormal warming of the Pacific Ocean waters, is already affecting the prices of agricultural commodities such as coffee, sugar, and cocoa, even before reaching its peak. The so-called "climate risk premium" has been anticipating the appreciation of these products, and the expectation is that the effects will intensify in the coming months, impacting the performance of the agricultural sector in 2027. The financial market and the agricultural sector are already feeling the effects of this climate change.

oglobo30/08/26, 08:00
Business

With El Niño, agricultural GDP should turn negative in 2027, Itaú indicates

Itaú predicts that Brazil's agricultural GDP should turn negative in 2027 due to one of the strongest El Niño events in recent decades, which should harm the country's agricultural production. The report prepared by the bank's economists anticipates that, if confirmed, this result will interrupt a period of strong expansion in the sector, which reached a record in 2023, suffered a contraction in 2024, and returned to a record high in 2025.

oglobo30/08/26, 08:00